Explorer From ‘ Renaissance ’ to Referendum ?
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Predicting the Brexit outcome using singular spectrum analysis
In a referendum conducted in the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23, 2016, $51.6\%$ of the participants voted to leave the European Union (EU). The outcome of this referendum had major policy and financial impact for both UK and EU, and was seen as a surprise because the predictions consistently indicate that the ``Remain'''' would get a majority. In this paper, we investigate whether the outcome o...
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Nicht alles, was vermessbar ist, ist auch real. Bereits Galilei demonstrierte mit einer Vermessung der Hölle Dantes, dass man selbst literarische Räume kartieren kann. Diesem Vorbild folgen auch die Laienkartographen des 21. Jahrhunderts. Ihre »Map Mashups« führen eine Tradition fort, die seit der Antike Spuren in Literatur, Kartographie und wissenschaftlichen Diskursen hinterlassen hat. Mit di...
متن کاملExamining the Relationship between “Science” and “Religion” in Socio-Cultural Context of the Renaissance: A Kuhnian Reading of Bacon’s New Atlantis
Thomas Kuhn’s model of paradigm shift as an intra-systemic framework to account for changes within the scientific discourse has been adopted by scholars in different fields as diverse as sociology, theology, economy, and education, to name only a few. The present study argues that the same model can usefully be drawn upon to examine the relationship between ‘science’ and ‘religion’ with some re...
متن کاملPredicting Brexit: Classifying Agreement is Better than Sentiment and Pollsters
On June 23rd 2016, UK held the referendum which ratified the exit from the EU. While most of the traditional pollsters failed to forecast the final vote, there were online systems that hit the result with high accuracy using opinion mining techniques and big data. Starting one month before, we collected and monitored millions of posts about the referendum from social media conversations, and ex...
متن کاملMaximising Consent: Operationalising Reciprocity in Secession Referenda
A constitutional referendum on secession from Indonesia was held in East Timor in 1999, with a pro-independence vote triggering widespread violence by the Indonesian army and pro-union militia. Montenegro underwent a similar process in 2006, also opting for independence but with much smoother results. This article will suggest that the deliberative democratic principle of reciprocity can help d...
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